{"id":295,"date":"2021-12-22T23:43:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-22T23:43:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demo.afthemes.com\/storymag-pro\/?p=30"},"modified":"2022-07-16T11:09:38","modified_gmt":"2022-07-16T11:09:38","slug":"studiu-evolutia-economiei-romaniei-in-2021-si-perspectivele-pentru-anul-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/index.php\/2021\/12\/22\/studiu-evolutia-economiei-romaniei-in-2021-si-perspectivele-pentru-anul-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Economia Rom\u00e2niei a revenit la stadiul de dinainte de pandemie"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-840x360.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-397\" width=\"1307\" height=\"560\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Economia Rom\u00e2niei a revenit la nivelul de dinainte de pandemie, iar recuperarea a fost neobi\u0219nuit de rapid\u0103, arat\u0103 un studiu f\u0103cut de Facultatea de \u015etiin\u0163e Economice de la Universitatea Babe\u015f-Bolyai din Cluj. Revenirea a fost stimulat\u0103 de m\u0103surile f\u0103r\u0103 precedent luate de autorit\u0103\u0163ile din \u00eentreaga lume, pentru a limita efectele pandemiei de coronavirus.<\/p>\n<p>La finalul anului 2021, \u0218coala de \u0218tiin\u021be Sociale a Universit\u0103\u021bii Babe\u0219-Bolyai din Cluj-Napoca (UBB), prin intermediul unei echipe de cercet\u0103tori ai Facult\u0103\u021bii de \u0218tiin\u021be Economice \u0219i Gestiunea Afacerilor (FSEGA), a realizat o analiz\u0103 privind evolu\u021bia economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti pe parcursul anului 2021, oferind \u00een acela\u0219i timp \u0219i previziuni pentru anul 2022, inclusiv cele mai importante tendin\u021be economice de urm\u0103rit \u00een perioada urm\u0103toare.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Potrivit cercet\u0103torilor UBB, 2021 a fost anul redres\u0103rii deosebit de rapide a economiei, fenomen \u00eenso\u021bit \u00eens\u0103 de cre\u0219terea presiunilor infla\u021bioniste at\u00e2t pe plan intern, c\u00e2t \u0219i extern. Dup\u0103 sc\u0103derea de 3,7% din anul 2020, economia Rom\u00e2niei a beneficiat de o recuperare dinamic\u0103 \u00eenregistr\u00e2nd, conform estim\u0103rii speciali\u0219tilor FSEGA, un ritm de cre\u0219tere de 6,3% p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul anului 2021. Aceast\u0103 evolu\u021bie \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 PIB-ul \u021b\u0103rii a reu\u0219it s\u0103 revin\u0103 la nivelul pre-pandemic \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 relativ scurt\u0103 de timp (\u00een aproximativ 1,5 ani), pe c\u00e2nd \u00een crizele anterioare (1996-1997, 2008-2009), economia a avut nevoie de 5-6 ani p\u00e2n\u0103 la recuperarea complet\u0103.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te determinan\u021bii evolu\u021biei favorabile a PIB-ului, cercet\u0103torii clujeni identific\u0103 mai mul\u021bi factori principali:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pe fondul&nbsp;<strong>m\u0103surilor de sprijin<\/strong>&nbsp;adoptate de autorit\u0103\u021bile din \u00eentreaga lume, f\u0103r\u0103 precedent \u00een timp de pace, economiile principale ale lumii au beneficiat de o redresare deosebit de dinamic\u0103 cu efecte pozitive, inclusiv asupra economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti.<\/li>\n<li>Pe plan intern,&nbsp;<strong>politica fiscal\u0103 \u0219i cea monetar\u0103<\/strong>&nbsp;au avut un caracter acomodativ (deficitul bugetar a r\u0103mas la un nivel ridicat, iar dob\u00e2nda de politic\u0103 monetar\u0103 semnificativ sub nivelul infla\u021biei sprijinind revenirea economiei).<\/li>\n<li>\u00cen compara\u021bie cu criza din 2008,&nbsp;<strong>situa\u021bia financiar\u0103 mai solid\u0103 a sectorului privat<\/strong>&nbsp;(\u00een mod special, cea a popula\u021biei) a jucat un rol semnificativ.<\/li>\n<li>Capacitatea agen\u021bilor economici de a se adapta noilor condi\u021bii, dar \u0219i&nbsp;<strong>structura specific\u0103 a economiei rom\u00e2ne\u0219ti<\/strong>&nbsp;(cele mai afectate sectoare, turismul \u0219i industria ospitalit\u0103\u021bii, au ponderi reduse \u00een PIB-ul Rom\u00e2niei) au jucat, de asemenea, un rol important.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/ux-789162_1920-1080x530.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-39\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Potrivit studiului, \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a anului 2021, economia Rom\u00e2niei a \u00eenceput s\u0103&nbsp;<strong>piard\u0103 din ritm<\/strong>, pe fondul cre\u0219terii presiunilor infla\u021bioniste (cu efecte negative asupra venitului real disponibil \u0219i, \u00een consecin\u021b\u0103, asupra cererii \u00een termeni reali a popula\u021biei), al blocajelor ap\u0103rute pe anumite segmente ale lan\u021burilor globale de produc\u021bie \u0219i de aprovizionare (care au afectat negativ, \u00een mod special, activitatea industrial\u0103), respectiv al agrav\u0103rii crizei energetice \u0219i valului din toamn\u0103 al pandemiei de coronavirus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>\u201e2022 va fi un an provocator din perspectiva men\u021binerii echilibrelor psiho-socio-economice, de aceea, orice gestiune deficitar\u0103 a pandemiei va genera efecte directe \u0219i imediate \u00een evolu\u021bia societ\u0103\u021bii \u0219i economiei na\u021bionale\u201d<\/em><\/strong><em>,&nbsp;<\/em>apreciaz\u0103 rectorul UBB, prof. univ. dr. Daniel David.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Decanul FSEGA, conf. univ. dr. R\u0103zvan V.&nbsp; Musta\u021b\u0103, adaug\u0103 c\u0103&nbsp;<strong>\u201e<em>\u00een 2021 am asistat la o revenire dinamic\u0103 a economiei na\u021bionale, pe un orizont de timp de 3-4 ori mai scurt dec\u00e2t \u00een situa\u021biile crizelor economice anterioare, dar cu o pierdere important\u0103 de ritm spre finalul acestui an. Un factor important \u00een aceast\u0103 evolu\u021bie este impulsul generat de redeschiderea economiilor na\u021bionale la nivel global. \u00cen 2022 se impune o schimbare de abordare \u00een gestionarea situa\u021biei economice na\u021bionale, f\u0103r\u0103 a mai fi luat \u00een calcul acest factor. Mai mult de at\u00e2t, f\u0103r\u0103 consecven\u021b\u0103 \u0219i coeren\u021b\u0103 \u00een deciziile care vizeaz\u0103 economia na\u021bional\u0103 nu vom reu\u0219i s\u0103 continu\u0103m stimularea cre\u0219terii consumului privat\u201d<\/em><\/strong><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Referindu-se la tendin\u021bele anului 2022, cercet\u0103torii clujeni apreciaz\u0103 c\u0103 faza incipient\u0103 \u0219i dinamic\u0103 a procesului de recuperare s-a \u00eencheiat \u0219i se a\u0219teapt\u0103 la \u00eencetinirea considerabil\u0103 a cre\u0219terii economice. Astfel, dup\u0103 o recuperare spectaculoas\u0103 \u00een anul 2021, ritmul cre\u0219terii economice ar putea \u00eencetini semnificativ, estim\u0103rile ar\u0103t\u00e2nd o&nbsp;<strong>cre\u0219tere de \u201edoar\u201d 3,7% a PIB-ului \u00een anul 2022<\/strong>. Factorii care vor \u00eencetini ritmul cre\u0219terii economice sunt reprezenta\u021bi de cre\u0219terile pre\u021burilor la materii prime \u0219i nesiguran\u021ba indus\u0103 de noile tulpini ale coronavirusului.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Studiul este realizat \u00een cadrul proiectului de cercetare&nbsp;<strong>COVID-19: Romanian Economic Impact Monitor<\/strong>, un proiect care monitorizeaz\u0103 evolu\u021bia economiei na\u021bionale \u00een timp real, \u00een contextul pandemiei, respectiv starea economic\u0103 a \u021b\u0103rii, oferind \u00een acela\u0219i timp previziuni pe termen scurt \u0219i mediu privind pandemia \u0219i performan\u021ba economic\u0103 a Rom\u00e2niei. Rezultatele complete ale proiectului de cercetare, actualizate zilnic, pot fi consultate pe platforma online COVID-19 RoEIM (<a href=\"https:\/\/econ.ubbcluj.ro\/coronavirus\/\">econ.ubbcluj.ro\/coronavirus<\/a>), iar analizele mai detaliate sunt publicate \u00een mod continuu pe pagina Facebook a proiectului (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/covid19.roeim\">www.facebook.com\/covid19.roeim<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Proiectul de cercetare este coordonat de Szasz Levente (profesor, UBB FSEGA), iar membrii echipei sunt Balint Csaba (BNR, cadru didactic asociat UBB FSEGA), Csala Denes (Lancasler Universily, cadru didactic asocial UBB FSEGA), Csiki Otto (doctorand UBB FSEGA), Nagy Balint Zsolt (conferentiar UBB FSEGA), respectiv Racz Bela-Gergely (lector UBB FSEGA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cristian Maghiar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Economia Rom\u00e2niei a revenit la nivelul de dinainte de pandemie, iar recuperarea a fost neobi\u0219nuit&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":397,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":true,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,8,10,11,13],"tags":[23,24,29,21,25,28,31,30,26,27,33,22,32],"class_list":["post-295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","category-health","category-science","category-stories","category-world","tag-analiza-economiei-2021","tag-analiza-fsega-ubb-economie-2021","tag-cristian-maghiar","tag-economia-romaniei","tag-inflatie-2022","tag-magazinmr-ro","tag-nivel","tag-pandemie","tag-pib-2022","tag-previziuni-economice-2022","tag-revenire","tag-romania","tag-stadiu"],"gutentor_comment":2,"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1.jpg",856,360,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-500x280.jpg",500,280,true],"medium":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-660x360.jpg",660,360,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-768x323.jpg",640,269,true],"large":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-840x360.jpg",640,274,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1.jpg",856,360,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1.jpg",856,360,false],"covernews-slider-full":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1.jpg",856,360,false],"covernews-slider-center":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-800x360.jpg",800,360,true],"covernews-featured":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1.jpg",856,360,false],"covernews-medium":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-540x340.jpg",540,340,true],"covernews-medium-square":["https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Revenirea-la-normalitate-in-lume-1-400x250.jpg",400,250,true]},"author_info":{"display_name":"admin","author_link":"https:\/\/magazinmr.ro\/index.php\/author\/admin_1ymo56ts\/"},"category_info":"<a 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